A grass tournament which takes place at the end of June and beginning of July every year, Wimbledon offers lots of options for bettors. Here’s a closer look at the types of betting offers available, as well as the strategy together with some free Wimbledon tennis betting tips.
Betting Strategies for Wimbledon
If you’re a huge tennis fan you might feel as if you’ve got enough knowledge of your own to have a good go at placing a bet. However, no matter how knowledgeable you are, there’s still a risk that you’ll subconsciously be affected by your own personal bias rather than making a decision purely based on facts.
For this reason, no matter how much you know about the game, it’s a good idea to base all of our bets upon the available data and not your gut instinct. There are many factors you can research, all of which will be useful. These include:
Performance on grass
Wimbledon is the only Grand Slam tournament that’s played on grass. The surface of the tennis court makes a huge difference, and there are players who specialise on different surfaces. Players who like to slog from the back of the court typically do better on a clay court than grass, as the latter is much faster with quicker ball speeds.
The type of players who tend to perform well on grass usually have a big serve and have a strong volley. Some of the top male players who have excelled on grass include Nadal, Federer, Murray and Djokovic. When placing a bet, don’t just look at the wins of a player, make sure you also check the surface they were achieved on.
Image source - ATPTour.com
Both the men’s and the women’s tournament at Wimbledon has 128 players in the draw which is largely based on the ATP World Rankings. However, Wimbledon reserves the right to tweak these rankings where they deem appropriate. This often involves moving players by a couple of places depending on their track record of playing on grass. Roger Federer and Pete Sampras are two players who were given the No 1 seeding at Wimbledon despite no longer hold the top spot in the ATP rankings.
Look for upsets
When an upset occurs, people are inevitably surprised but if you look closely at the data very often you’ll find all the indicators pointing to the win. Although being a seed means that you’re a quality player, the unpredictability and speed of grass means that it’s more likely for an underdog to win.
Italian, Spanish and South American players all mature playing on clay courts and despite their dominance in the ATP top 100, don’t do very well at Wimbledon. The only big exception to this has been Nadal who has consistently won at SW19.
Therefore, when you’re scanning the matches for potential upsets look out for seeded players from these countries coming up against a rank outsider who is tall and has a big serve. Even though the rest of their game may not be as good, the advantage they’ll get from the height and serve could be enough to knock out the seeded player.
Look at head-to-heads
As a sport that’s most often played one-on-one, the psychology of tennis should not be underestimated. If a player has lost to a certain other player on a number of occasions, there could be an effect on his psyche when he faces him again.
It’s possible to use the official ATP site to find results between a pair of players, but don’t forget to check the surface! You’re not just looking to see who won but also how close the matches were. If you can’t find any previous matches on grass, try looking at hard-court results. This is the next fastest surface and will provide an indication.
If a tennis star is playing at less than his best, there aren’t 10 other teammates to pick up the slack. The court can be a lonely place and if they’re carrying an injury or knock, it could completely change the outlook.
When you’re researching a player, pay close attention to his injury record over the previous year. It’s also a good idea to see if there’s any history of crashing out of Wimbledon in the past with an injury. As mentioned above, some players are naturally adept at playing on grass while others struggle. If your player gets injured repeatedly on grass courts, you could have a problem betting on him to win.
Types of bet
When you’re betting on the tennis, you can roughly group the available bets into two distant groups: betting on the player and betting on the game. They may sound like similar things but in reality they’re very different.
When you’re betting on the player, you’re deciding whether he’s likely to win or how far he might go in the competition. Betting on the match could include correctly predicting the score, whether a tie break will occur or whether the number of games will be odd or even.
The distinction is subtle but definite. Some bettors prefer to bet on the match rather than the specific performance of the player as it provides more options and lots of opportunities for in-play bets.
Wimbledon Tournament Format
Like all of the tennis majors, Wimbledon follows a knockout tournament process for both the mens’ singles, womens singles, mens doubles and womens singles tournaments. For both the mens and womens singles competitions 128 players enter the competition and there are 6 rounds to reach the final, with the final being the penultimate game.
Men play 5 sets, whilst women play 3 sets for each match. There have been murmurings for a number of years now that the mens tournament will drop to 3 sets per match, but to date this has not materialised.
Wimbledon Prize Money
There will be a total of £34 million up for grabs at the 2018 tournament. Since 2007 prize money for the mens and womens singles title has been equally shared with the penultimate winner of each competition receiving £2.25 million each. The runner up for each tournament will receive £450,000 each, with remaining prize money awarded depending on where a player finishes.
The lucrativeness of the prize money available for players taking part at Wimbledon has led to accusations in recent years that some lower ranked players were turning up to play in the tournament even though they were not fully fit. The retirement rate for first round entrants being much higher than at other tennis tournaments around the world.
Trust Yesbets for the Top Offers
As Wimbledon is such a high-profile tournament, all the bookmakers will be vying to attract punters. This is good news for you as it means you’ll have an array of offers and deals to choose from. Yesbets features the best tennis betting offers, including Wimbledon free bets before and
What Types of Offers Can I Expect For Wimbledon?
Based on historical promotions that we have seen for the tennis majors in the past, we’ve taken a look at what you can expect for the upcoming tournament.
2UP Early Payout
Popular with both Bet365 and Paddy Power, you back a player to win his match and if at any point they go 2 sets up, the bookie will pay out your bet early. This is available on mens tennis matches only, owing to the fact they play 5 sets, whereas women only play 3 sets in any given match.
Some excellent research from 5addedminutes showed that on average, where tennis matches went to 5 sets 21% of them were won by the player that lost the first 2 sets. In other words, the bookie would have paid out in 21% of these 5 set matches when they wouldn’t have had to without the promotion.
When looking to take advantage of this offer, you will want to look for matches between 2 players of a similar standard. You are unlikely to hit an early payout when backing Federer to beat the wildcard entry for example.
The 2UP is also popular with the matched betting community. If you have backed and layed a player to win the match and he goes 2 sets up, then loses, you will win both the back and the lay portions of your bets.
Money Back if Player Loses in 5 Sets
With the money back if your selection loses in 5 sets, you receive your stake back as a free bet, if your player loses the match in the 5th set. Taking a look at the French Open betting, the 2018 results that have just taken place, we can see that 27% of matches in the men’s singles tournaments went to 5 sets. Assuming you will be right 50% of the time (this could be improved upon with some research on the players you are backing), you have a 12% chance of hitting the refund.
If Player Loses The First Set And Wins The Match Get Double Winnings
BoyleSports have enjoyed running this promotion in previous years and we hope to see it for Wimbledon in 2018. If your player loses the first set but then goes on to win the match you get double winnings as a free bet up to £25. The great thing with this offer is that it’s available on both men’s and women’s games so the choice of matches that you can bet on is greatly increased.
If Player Wins the First Set But Loses the Match Get a Free Bet
This promotion works slightly differently to the offer above. Here you need to back a player and if they win the first set but go on to lose the match, you’ll receive a free bet. 10 Bet have been running this offer for The French Open, offering a refund of £20 as a free bet if your selected player won the first set but lost. We’ll be hoping for more of the same when Wimbledon starts this summer.
Cash Back on Losses
Coral and Ladbrokes (now part of the same company) and William Hill have been known to run a cashback promotion on net losses for a given day. They recently ran this offer for The French Open and we’ll be hoping that they do so again for Wimbledon. This one is probably more for the matched bettors out there. If you can lock in some good matches, with high stakes you can see some good returns if the results go your way and you make a “hedged” loss at the bookmaker.