When To Match In-Play?
For football in-play matched bets, we always recommend users place bets during the half time interval. This is the time when the odds are at their most settled state. You can find really close matches during play (0-45 mins or 45-90 mins), but if you place your back bet, and a goal is scored then this can either drop or increase the lay odds which can remove all profit from the matched bet.
(With darts, any time the players are not playing, in between rounds. For specific sports such as greyhounds, in-play matches can be really difficult as there is a limited amount of money in the exchange (liquidity))
Let’s take a random premier league game “Burnley v Newcastle”, we can see Newcastle are 1-0 up after 10 minutes, and we can see a great match for our £10 free bet, Burnley 7.0 to back, and 6.8 to lay at Betfair.
We have the oddsmatcher on hand to enter the current odds, an excellent £8.44 profit from a £10 free bet, well over the 80% profit margin we are looking for.
We place our back bet of £10 at odds of 7.0, but…...Newcastle score another goal, sending the lay odds on Burnley soaring to 29.0. There was a 13 minute gap that we could have placed our back and lay bet successfully, but there is always a chance of a goal being scored.
Updating the odds, would then only provide us with £1.97 profit from our £10 free bet
If Burnley would have scored, the odds on Burnely to win would have dropped creating an arb (back odds higher than lay odds). At 1-1, Burnley may have been 3.5 to win, doubling our profit to £16 from the £10 free bet
It’s really up to you if you want to take this risk. We already recommend placing your bets at half time when there is no major action on the pitch that can cause a massive change in the odds (e.g. goal being scored)
Half time odds on the Burnley v Newcastle game, 1x2 market: